Match

Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima

Kagoshima UnitedSagamihara

The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kagoshima United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Kagoshima United (1,868) and Sagamihara (1,812).

50%24%26%
Kagoshima United winDrawSagamihara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kagoshima United

4-3-3
  1. 22Aura Takahashi
  2. 18K. Kawamura
  3. 9R. Arita
  1. 7W. Tanaka
  2. 14K. Yoshio
  3. 20M. Endo
  1. 35G. Egawa
  2. 44Yoshitaka Aoki
  3. 5Y. Yamada
  4. 36J. Ikeda
  1. 31D. Sakata

Sagamihara

4-3-3
  1. 15T. Maeda
  2. 7A. Tanahashi
  3. 9K. Sasaki
  1. 10R. Nakayama
  2. 17T. Takeuchi
  3. 6Y. Tokunaga
  1. 13M. Tokida
  2. 2K. Watahiki
  3. 19S. Okita
  4. 5R. Yamauchi
  1. 21Kim Min-Ho

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kagoshima United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sagamihara have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)1-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)1-1J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Osaka(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Kochi United(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 17, 2026Ehime FC(home)4-2J3 League
Sagamihara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-0J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Kochi United(away)3-1J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Oct 21, 2026FC Gifu(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 18, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)2-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kagoshima United wins, 0 draws, 1 Sagamihara win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2025Kagoshima United 3-0 SagamiharaJ3 League
Mar 1, 2025Sagamihara 0-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Sep 9, 2023Sagamihara 0-3 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Mar 26, 2023Kagoshima United 2-1 SagamiharaJ3 League
Aug 20, 2022Sagamihara 0-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Jul 17, 2022Kagoshima United 0-1 SagamiharaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kagoshima United score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kagoshima United1.91.3111/159/15
Sagamihara1.71.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kagoshima United sit 3rd in J3 League (31 points from 15 matches) and Sagamihara sit 5th (28 points from 15 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kagoshima United15942291831
5Sagamihara15843251528

A question about Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara?
The Footlab AI model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sagamihara.
Where and when is Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara played?
Kagoshima United vs Sagamihara is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shiranami Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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