Match

Kitakyushu vs Nara Club: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuNara Club

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Nara Club?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,620) and Nara Club (1,664).

Kitakyushu win40 %
Draw25 %
Nara Club win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Okinawa SV(home)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)0-0J3 League
Jul 18, 2026Yokohama FC(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Nara Club
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)3-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Osaka(home)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Kagoshima United(home)1-3J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Ehime FC(away)1-4J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)2-0J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kitakyushu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nara Club win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2025Kitakyushu 0-1 Nara ClubJ3 League
Jul 5, 2025Nara Club 4-0 KitakyushuJ3 League
Aug 24, 2024Nara Club 0-2 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 16, 2024Kitakyushu 2-1 Nara ClubJ3 League
Aug 6, 2023Nara Club 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jun 11, 2023Kitakyushu 1-1 Nara ClubJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Nara Club on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.11.9210/1510/15
Nara Club1.71.9212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Nara Club3102583
15Kitakyushu2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Nara Club?
The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Nara Club.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Nara Club played?
Kitakyushu vs Nara Club is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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