Match

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame

Kamatamare SanukiThespakusatsu Gunma

The Footlab model makes Kamatamare Sanuki the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Kamatamare Sanuki (1,592) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).

Kamatamare Sanuki win38 %
Draw26 %
Thespakusatsu Gunma win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kamatamare Sanuki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kochi United(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Veroskronos Tsuno(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kitakyushu(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Fukushima United(away)2-1J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-0J2/J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-4Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)2-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Tohoku Gakuin University(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Sagamihara(home)1-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Kagoshima United(away)0-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2025Kamatamare Sanuki 3-2 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League
Jun 15, 2025Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-3 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Aug 10, 2019Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League
Jun 23, 2019Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-1 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Aug 11, 2017Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-2 Kamatamare SanukiJ2 League
May 21, 2017Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Thespakusatsu GunmaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kamatamare Sanuki0.91.729/1510/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma1.71.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Kamatamare Sanuki3111334
20Thespakusatsu Gunma3003380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
The Footlab model makes Kamatamare Sanuki the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kamatamare Sanuki and Thespakusatsu Gunma

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