Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Kamatamare Sanuki the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Kamatamare Sanuki (1,592) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 3-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-3 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Jun 23, 2019 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 3-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-2 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| May 21, 2017 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
- The Footlab model makes Kamatamare Sanuki the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027KanazawavsFC Ryukyu
- May 9, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsTochigi SC
- May 9, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsParceiro Nagano
- May 9, 2027Roasso KumamotovsKochi United
- May 9, 2027KitakyushuvsNara Club
- May 9, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsSagamihara
- May 9, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsEhime FC
- May 9, 2027Gainare TottorivsBiwako Shiga