Roasso Kumamoto vs Kochi United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kochi United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and Kochi United (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kochi United?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kochi United played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Kochi United is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027KanazawavsFC Ryukyu
- May 9, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsTochigi SC
- May 9, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsParceiro Nagano
- May 9, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsThespakusatsu Gunma
- May 9, 2027KitakyushuvsNara Club
- May 9, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsSagamihara
- May 9, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsEhime FC
- May 9, 2027Gainare TottorivsBiwako Shiga