Kaisar vs Okzhetpes: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Gany Muratbaeva, Kyzylorda
The Footlab model makes Kaisar the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Okzhetpes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaisar vs Okzhetpes?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kaisar (1,504) and Okzhetpes (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaisar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Okzhetpes have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zhenys(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaspiy(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Altay(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aktobe(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kaisar win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Okzhetpes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Okzhetpes 4-2 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Kaisar 2-2 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Kaisar 0-1 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Okzhetpes 0-1 Kaisar | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Okzhetpes 1-1 Kaisar | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaisar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Okzhetpes score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaisar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Okzhetpes | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaisar sit 13th in Premier League (20 points from 21 matches) and Okzhetpes sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 13 | Kaisar | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaisar vs Okzhetpes?
- The Footlab model makes Kaisar the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Okzhetpes.
- Where and when is Kaisar vs Okzhetpes played?
- Kaisar vs Okzhetpes is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Gany Muratbaeva, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.