Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Flora Tallinn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Kalju Nomme (1,717) and Flora Tallinn (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalju Nomme have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Flora Tallinn have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poseidon(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 5-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kalju Nomme win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Flora Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kalju Nomme 0-1 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 0-1 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 3-1 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 1-0 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 2-3 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 1-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalju Nomme score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flora Tallinn score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Flora Tallinn | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalju Nomme sit 2nd in Meistriliiga (44 points from 24 matches) and Flora Tallinn sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 25 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Flora Tallinn.
- Where and when is Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn played?
- Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Hiiu staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.