Tammeka vs Trans Narva: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Tamme staadion, Tartu
The Footlab AI model makes Tammeka the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Trans Narva. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tammeka vs Trans Narva?
Tammeka starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,584 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tammeka vs Trans Narva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tammeka
4-2-3-1- 23P. Veelma
- 7Thomas Lisboa
- 99M. Hydara
- 10G. Uggeri
- 24H. Pedmanson
- 22T. Lang
- 3Pedro Manoel
- 17J. Amijekori
- 44O. Kangaslahti
- 27Laurits Õunpuu
- 26K. Lapa
Trans Narva
4-3-3- 10A. Gero
- 24Y. Betancor
- 7M. Velijev
- 48W. Awusi
- 6G. Šlein
- 8Stanislav Agaptšev
- 3T. Berardozzi
- 14A. Filatov
- 5C. Campagna
- 4A. Ivanyushin
- 30Íker Venteo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tammeka have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Trans Narva have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-6 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tammeka wins, 0 draws, 2 Trans Narva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Trans Narva 0-2 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tammeka 1-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Trans Narva 3-0 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Trans Narva 1-2 Tammeka | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Tammeka 2-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Trans Narva 4-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Trans Narva vs Tammeka on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tammeka score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka | 2.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Trans Narva | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tammeka sit 5th in Meistriliiga (47 points from 30 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (20 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 47 | 47 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 67 | 20 |
A question about Tammeka vs Trans Narva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tammeka vs Trans Narva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tammeka the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Trans Narva.
- Where and when is Tammeka vs Trans Narva played?
- Tammeka vs Trans Narva is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Tamme staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.