FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Laagri. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri?
FC Levadia Tallinn is a heavy favourite: 1,859 Elo points against 1,551 — a 308-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Levadia Tallinn have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Laagri have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tamper(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Levadia Tallinn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Laagri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri 1-2 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| May 9, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 3-0 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Laagri 1-3 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Laagri 2-2 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 19, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn 3-0 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| May 31, 2025 | Laagri 0-1 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Levadia Tallinn score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Laagri score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 2.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Laagri | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st in Meistriliiga (56 points from 23 matches) and Laagri sit 6th (28 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri?
- The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Laagri.
- Where and when is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri played?
- FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.