Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Kuressaare. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare?
Kalju Nomme starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,468).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalju Nomme have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kuressaare have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poseidon(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 5-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 3-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kristiine JK(away) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 3-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paide(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kalju Nomme win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kuressaare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kuressaare 0-0 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| May 17, 2026 | Kuressaare 0-2 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kalju Nomme 4-0 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kuressaare 0-1 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 2-0 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| May 18, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 4-0 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalju Nomme score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kuressaare score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Kuressaare | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalju Nomme sit 2nd in Meistriliiga (44 points from 24 matches) and Kuressaare sit 9th (24 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare?
- The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Kuressaare.
- Where and when is Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare played?
- Kalju Nomme vs Kuressaare is played on November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Hiiu staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.