Tammeka vs Laagri: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Tamme staadion, Tartu
The Footlab model makes Tammeka the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Laagri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tammeka vs Laagri?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Tammeka (1,524) and Laagri (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tammeka have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Laagri have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rumori Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Zealot Sporting(home) | 19-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tamper(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tammeka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Laagri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Tammeka 2-1 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Laagri 1-0 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Laagri 2-2 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tammeka 3-0 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Tammeka 2-1 Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Laagri 4-1 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tammeka score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Laagri score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Laagri | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tammeka sit 5th in Meistriliiga (32 points from 21 matches) and Laagri sit 6th (28 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tammeka | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 32 |
| 6 | Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tammeka vs Laagri?
- The Footlab model makes Tammeka the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Laagri.
- Where and when is Tammeka vs Laagri played?
- Tammeka vs Laagri is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Tamme staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.