Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Männiku staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Nõmme United. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
FC Levadia Tallinn is a heavy favourite: 1,840 Elo points against 1,519, a 321-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; FC Levadia Tallinn have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paide(away) | 1-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hiiumaa(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Paide(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trans Narva(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nõmme United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Levadia Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 5-0 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Nõmme United 1-2 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn 2-4 Nõmme United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Nõmme United 0-1 FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Nõmme United on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Levadia Tallinn score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme United sit 8th in Meistriliiga (25 points from 24 matches) and FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st (56 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 58 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes FC Levadia Tallinn the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Nõmme United.
- Where and when is Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn played?
- Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn is played on October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Männiku staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.