Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab AI model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Trans Narva. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?
Flora Tallinn starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flora Tallinn
4-3-3- 29S. Alamaa
- 50E. Sorga
- 17T. Usta
- 18R. Valdmets
- 32V. Kreida
- 14T. Varjund
- 6R. Veering
- 23M. Kolobov
- 26S. Tovstik
- 24O. Pihela
- 33E. Grünvald
Trans Narva
4-3-3- 10A. Gero
- 7M. Velijev
- 47N. Baljabkin
- 8Stanislav Agaptšev
- 48W. Awusi
- 6G. Šlein
- 3T. Berardozzi
- 14A. Filatov
- 5C. Campagna
- 12Eriks Santos
- 30Íker Venteo
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora Tallinn have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Trans Narva have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 1-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paide(away) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vaprus(away) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Flora Tallinn wins, 2 draws, 0 Trans Narva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Trans Narva 2-2 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| May 16, 2026 | Trans Narva 0-3 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| May 5, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 1-0 Trans Narva | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Flora Tallinn 6-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Flora Tallinn 4-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Trans Narva 1-1 Flora Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Trans Narva vs Flora Tallinn on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora Tallinn score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Trans Narva | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora Tallinn sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (58 points from 34 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (20 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 49 | 58 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 76 | 20 |
A question about Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flora Tallinn the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Trans Narva.
- Where and when is Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva played?
- Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at A. Le Coq Arena, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.