Səbail vs Zira: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Səbail. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Səbail vs Zira?
Zira starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,892 vs 1,643).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Səbail vs Zira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Səbail
4-3-3- 14S. Allouch
- 22M. Abbasov
- 10David Gomis
- 96İ. Muradov
- 11R. Abdullazadə
- 83N. Quliyev
- 16Emin Rüstəmov
- 20M. Çelik
- 4Marko Nikolić
- 3D. Lytvyn
- 12Ə. Müştəfazadə
Zira
4-3-3- 9D. Volkovi
- 27L. Bayéré
- 7E. Aydın
- 21Guima
- 11A. Guseynov
- 8İ. İbrahimli
- 4Ruan
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 2A. Seydiyev
- 32Q. Alıyev
- 72H. Quliyev
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Zira have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Səbail wins, 0 draws, 6 Zira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Səbail 0-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Zira 1-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Səbail 0-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Zira 4-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| May 25, 2024 | Zira 1-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Zira 3-0 Səbail | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zira score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Zira | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Səbail vs Zira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Səbail vs Zira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Səbail.
- Where and when is Səbail vs Zira played?
- Səbail vs Zira is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at ASCO Arena, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.