Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743) and Stilon Gorzów (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 2-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 0-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026ROW RybnikvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Sep 12, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Sep 12, 2026KluczborkvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 12, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 12, 2026Warta GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Carina GubinvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 12, 2026Barycz SułówvsGórnik Polkowice
- Sep 12, 2026SłowianinvsSparta Katowice