Karmiotissa vs Aris: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab AI model makes Aris the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aris wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs Aris?
Aris starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karmiotissa vs Aris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 29D. Gaustad
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 27J. Badelj
- 7Anderson Correia
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 91M. Zadro
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Aris have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karmiotissa win, 3 draws, 2 Aris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris 0-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Aris 1-1 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Aris 3-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Karmiotissa 4-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| Jan 5, 2023 | Karmiotissa 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aris score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Aris | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karmiotissa sit 12th in 1. Division (3 points from 5 matches) and Aris sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Karmiotissa vs Aris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs Aris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs Aris played?
- Karmiotissa vs Aris is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.