AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Omonia 29is Maiou. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
AEK Larnaca is a heavy favourite: 2,011 Elo points against 1,689 — a 322-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Omonia 29is Maiou have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Doxa(home) | 5-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 AEK Larnaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Omonia 29is Maiou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Omonia 29is Maiou 1-5 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia 29is Maiou score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Omonia 29is Maiou.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.