Red Lions vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)ZACC Ground, Zomba
The Footlab AI model makes Red Lions the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Lions vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Red Lions (1,393) and Karonga United (1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Red Lions vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Red Lions
Not enough data to predict the Red Lions lineup.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Lions have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Red Lions wins, 1 draw, 3 Karonga United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Karonga United 1-0 Red Lions | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Karonga United 2-3 Red Lions | Super League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Red Lions 2-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Karonga United 3-2 Red Lions | Super League |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Red Lions 1-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Red Lions 0-1 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Red Lions on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Lions score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Lions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Lions sit 10th in Super League (21 points from 16 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Red Lions | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 21 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Red Lions vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Lions vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Red Lions the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Red Lions vs Karonga United played?
- Red Lions vs Karonga United is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at ZACC Ground, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.