Karsiyaka vs Tire 2021 FK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Tire 2021 FK. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Tire 2021 FK?
Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Tire 2021 FK have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Afjet Afyonspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Söke 1970(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bornova 1877(home) | 2-4 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karsiyaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tire 2021 FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK 1-1 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Karsiyaka 2-1 Tire 2021 FK | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tire 2021 FK vs Karsiyaka on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tire 2021 FK score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tire 2021 FK | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Tire 2021 FK?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Tire 2021 FK.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Tire 2021 FK played?
- Karsiyaka vs Tire 2021 FK is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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