Karvan vs Şimal: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Evlakh
The Footlab AI model makes Karvan the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Şimal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karvan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karvan vs Şimal?
Karvan starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,564 vs 1,427).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karvan vs Şimal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karvan
4-3-3- 11K. Spence
- 20J. Mickels
- 14U. Cahangirov
- 33E. Turabov
- 16R. Rüstəmli
- 17S. Abdullayev
- 2S. Sno
- 13V. Məsimov
- 5E. Rustamov
- 37M. Ngwisani
- 99Pedro Mateus
Şimal
Not enough data to predict the Şimal lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karvan have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Şimal have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Zangazur (Am)(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 1-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Araz(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 5-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Karvan score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Şimal score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karvan | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Şimal | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karvan sit 5th in Birinci Dasta (10 points from 6 matches) and Şimal sit 6th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Karvan vs Şimal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karvan vs Şimal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karvan the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Şimal.
- Where and when is Karvan vs Şimal played?
- Karvan vs Şimal is played on November 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.