Səbail vs Cəbrayıl: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Cəbrayıl. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
Səbail starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Səbail vs Cəbrayıl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Səbail
4-3-3- 14S. Allouch
- 22M. Abbasov
- 10David Gomis
- 96İ. Muradov
- 11R. Abdullazadə
- 83N. Quliyev
- 16Emin Rüstəmov
- 20M. Çelik
- 4Marko Nikolić
- 3D. Lytvyn
- 12Ə. Müştəfazadə
Cəbrayıl
4-3-3- NNurlan Quliyev
- EE. Nəsibov
- AAgabakir Hashimli
- SS. Məhərrəmli
- ZZ. Abdurahmanov
- TT. Garayev
- MMəhərrəm Orucov
- SSamir Ibrahimov
- RR. CÉfÉrli
- ZZ. Mirzəzadə
- ƏƏ. Vəliyev
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Cəbrayıl have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Zira(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 7-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Karvan(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Səbail wins, 0 draws, 1 Cəbrayıl win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Səbail 6-0 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Cəbrayıl 1-4 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Səbail 0-2 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cəbrayıl score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cəbrayıl | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Səbail sit 4th in Birinci Dasta (11 points from 6 matches) and Cəbrayıl sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Cəbrayıl.
- Where and when is Səbail vs Cəbrayıl played?
- Səbail vs Cəbrayıl is played on November 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at ASCO Arena, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.