Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 21D. Gül
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 10L. Sané
- 27Rafael Leão
- 7R. Sallai
- 6D. Sánchez
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 4I. Jakobs
- 1U. Çakır
Known absences
G. GüvençOut · Muscle injury
L. UgochukwuOut · Suspended (red card)
M. LeminaOut · Muscle injury
V. OsimhenOut · Groin injury
W. SingoOut · Thigh injury
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 50G. Yalçın
- 19M. Rafferty
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 14K. Mouanga
- 45A. Karapo
- 1A. Gianniotis
Known absences
A. ArousOut · Wound- K. ÇörekçiOut · Achilles injury
- M. Ben OuanesDoubtful · Muscle injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 3-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Galatasaray wins, 2 draws, 1 Kasımpaşa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 1-0 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Galatasaray 3-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 3-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Galatasaray 3-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 3-4 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Galatasaray 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (13 points from 6 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Kasımpaşa | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.