Kasuka vs Manila Digger: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kompleks Sukan Tutong, Tutong
The Footlab model makes Kasuka the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Manila Digger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasuka vs Manila Digger?
Manila Digger starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,424).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Kasuka have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Manila Digger have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 0-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 0-6 | AFC Challenge League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Shan United(away) | 1-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Shan United(home) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Taguig(home) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 27, 2026 | Kaya(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| May 23, 2026 | Stallion(home) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 9, 2026 | Davao Aguilas(away) | 0-1 | PFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Kasuka score 0.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 5; Manila Digger score 3.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasuka | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Manila Digger | 3.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasuka vs Manila Digger?
- The Footlab model makes Kasuka the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Manila Digger.
- Where and when is Kasuka vs Manila Digger played?
- Kasuka vs Manila Digger is played on September 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kompleks Sukan Tutong, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.