Manila Digger vs Kasuka: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kasuka. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manila Digger vs Kasuka?
Manila Digger starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,407).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manila Digger have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kasuka have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Taguig(home) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 27, 2026 | Kaya(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| May 23, 2026 | Stallion(home) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 1-1 | PFL |
| May 9, 2026 | Davao Aguilas(away) | 0-1 | PFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 0-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 0-6 | AFC Challenge League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Shan United(away) | 1-3 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Shan United(home) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Manila Digger score 3.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kasuka score 0.8 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manila Digger | 3.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Kasuka | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manila Digger vs Kasuka?
- The Footlab model makes Manila Digger the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kasuka.
- Where and when is Manila Digger vs Kasuka played?
- Manila Digger vs Kasuka is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.