Where and when is Barendrecht vs Spakenburg played?

Barendrecht vs Spakenburg is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barendrecht vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht

Barendrecht

Spakenburg

The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barendrecht vs Spakenburg?

Spakenburg starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,814).

Barendrecht win37 %

Draw22 %

Spakenburg win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spakenburg have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barendrecht
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(away)	2-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	HHC(home)	1-3	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	Excelsior Maassluis(home)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	RKAV Volendam(away)	2-5	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	Hoek(home)	4-2	Tweede Divisie

Spakenburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RKAV Volendam(away)	1-2	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Katwijk(home)	1-0	Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(away)	2-3	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Katwijk(home)	2-1	Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026	De Treffers(away)	0-0	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Spakenburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg	Tweede Divisie
Nov 15, 2025	Spakenburg 8-0 Barendrecht	Tweede Divisie
Mar 15, 2025	Barendrecht 2-2 Spakenburg	Tweede Divisie
Oct 12, 2024	Spakenburg 4-1 Barendrecht	Tweede Divisie
Jan 26, 2019	Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg	Tweede Divisie
Aug 25, 2018	Spakenburg 1-0 Barendrecht	Tweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs Spakenburg on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barendrecht	1.9	2.4	1	12/15	14/15
Spakenburg	1.8	1.3	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	3	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Spakenburg?: The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Barendrecht.
Where and when is Barendrecht vs Spakenburg played?: Barendrecht vs Spakenburg is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.