Barendrecht vs Spakenburg: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Spakenburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barendrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Spakenburg?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,905) and Spakenburg (1,944).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barendrecht vs Spakenburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barendrecht
4-3-3- 11A. Serghini
- 9B. Vugts
- 10E. Fortes
- 21O. Mrowicki
- 24R. Ouali
- 12C. Schop
- 3Timo de Graaf
- 2J. Brand
- 15K. Rook
- 7D. Monster
- 1B. van der Meer
Spakenburg
4-3-3- 9M. van der Weijden
- 14S. Hage
- 7A. El Azzouti
- 34S. Lever
- 15H. van Lopik
- 8S. van Huffel
- 5D. Green
- 16O. Kok
- 18T. Linthorst
- 44J. Guiting
- 1S. Damkalis
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Spakenburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Almere City II(away) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 0-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barendrecht win, 1 draw, 4 Spakenburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spakenburg 1-3 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Spakenburg 8-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Barendrecht 2-2 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Spakenburg 4-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Barendrecht 0-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Spakenburg vs Barendrecht on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Spakenburg score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Spakenburg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (17 points from 10 matches) and Spakenburg sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barendrecht | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Barendrecht vs Spakenburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Spakenburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Spakenburg.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs Spakenburg played?
- Barendrecht vs Spakenburg is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Kozakken BoysvsROHDA Raalte
- Jan 30, 2027AFC AmsterdamvsRijnsburgse Boys
- Jan 30, 2027Quick BoysvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Jan 30, 2027HoekvsRKAV Volendam
- Jan 30, 2027De TreffersvsHHC
- Jan 30, 2027IjsselmeervogelsvsKloetinge
- Jan 30, 2027Almere City IIvsKatwijk
- Jan 30, 2027Sparta Rotterdam IIvsKoninklijke HFC