Match

Almere City II vs Katwijk: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Yanmar Stadion, Almere

Almere City IIKatwijk

The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almere City II vs Katwijk?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Almere City II (1,909) and Katwijk (1,890).

Almere City II win51 %
Draw22 %
Katwijk win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almere City II have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almere City II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026HHC(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)4-0Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026GVVV Veenendaal(home)5-4Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(away)1-0Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026RKAV Volendam(home)3-2Tweede Divisie
Katwijk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hoek(home)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Spakenburg(away)0-1Tweede Divisie
May 23, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(home)4-1Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Spakenburg(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
May 9, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)4-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almere City II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Katwijk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Katwijk 3-0 Almere City IITweede Divisie
Oct 18, 2025Almere City II 3-0 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Apr 5, 2025Katwijk 0-4 Almere City IITweede Divisie
Oct 26, 2024Almere City II 1-2 KatwijkTweede Divisie
Jan 20, 2024Katwijk 1-3 Almere City IITweede Divisie
Aug 29, 2023Almere City II 0-1 KatwijkTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Almere City II on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almere City II1.92.139/1513/15
Katwijk2.11.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almere City II sit 7th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Almere City II2101523
14Katwijk2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almere City II vs Katwijk?
The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Katwijk.
Where and when is Almere City II vs Katwijk played?
Almere City II vs Katwijk is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Yanmar Stadion, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Almere City II and Katwijk

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