Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Kauno Žalgiris. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg is a heavy favourite: 2,260 Elo points against 1,886, a 374-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1- 19Renan Oliveira
- 7A. Benchaib
- 8Y. Karashima
- 15Leonardo
- 32F. Baldassarra
- 70F. Ourega
- 23A. Hernández
- 3A. Tolordava
- 45J. Moutachy
- 37N. Edokpolor
- 55T. Švedkauskas
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1- 9L. Höler
- 8M. Eggestein
- 14Y. Suzuki
- 19J. Beste
- 22Cyriaque Kalou Irié
- 32V. Grifo
- 28M. Ginter
- 30C. Günter
- 37M. Rosenfelder
- 17L. Kübler
- 1M. Backhaus
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SC Freiburg have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(away) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Minija(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| SC Freiburg | 2.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris sit 36th in UEFA Europa Conference League (0 points from 1 match) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Kauno Žalgiris.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg played?
- Kauno Žalgiris vs SC Freiburg is played on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.