KCB vs Mombasa Elite: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate KCB (1,490) and Mombasa Elite (1,393).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCB vs Mombasa Elite
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Mombasa Elite
Not enough data to predict the Mombasa Elite lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mombasa Elite have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Naivas(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mombasa Elite score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mombasa Elite | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 3rd in FKF Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Mombasa Elite sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KCB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Mombasa Elite | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is KCB vs Mombasa Elite played?
- KCB vs Mombasa Elite is played on October 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.