KCB vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab model makes Shabana the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for KCB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate KCB (1,482) and Shabana (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Shabana have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 0-0 | Shield Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KCB win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Shabana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana 1-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | KCB 1-3 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | KCB 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Shabana 2-0 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | KCB 3-2 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Shabana 1-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Shabana | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 7th in FKF Premier League (48 points from 34 matches) and Shabana sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Shabana?
- The Footlab model makes Shabana the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for KCB.
- Where and when is KCB vs Shabana played?
- KCB vs Shabana is played on May 2, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.