KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes KDV the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Krylya Sovetov II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II?
KDV starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KDV have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Krylya Sovetov II have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Izhevsk(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orenburg II(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Izhevsk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Akron II(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KDV(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Orenburg II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 KDV win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Krylya Sovetov II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | KDV 1-0 Krylya Sovetov II | Second League - Group 4 |
| May 31, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II 2-1 KDV | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Krylya Sovetov II 1-3 KDV | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | KDV 0-1 Krylya Sovetov II | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KDV score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Krylya Sovetov II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDV | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Krylya Sovetov II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KDV sit 2nd in Second League - Group 4 (53 points from 22 matches) and Krylya Sovetov II sit 5th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II?
- The Footlab model makes KDV the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Krylya Sovetov II.
- Where and when is KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II played?
- KDV vs Krylya Sovetov II is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.