Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Akron II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Akron II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Akron II?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (1,705) and Akron II (1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Akron II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nosta(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(home) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amkar(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Akron II(away) | 2-7 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 7-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ural II(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Akron II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Akron II 7-2 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | Second League - Group 4 |
| May 31, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1-3 Akron II | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Akron II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 2.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Akron II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod sit 3rd in Second League - Group 4 (43 points from 22 matches) and Akron II sit 4th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 33 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Akron II?
- The Footlab model makes Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Akron II.
- Where and when is Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Akron II played?
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Akron II is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.