Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab model makes Orenburg II the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Chelyabinsk II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Orenburg II (1,556) and Chelyabinsk II (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orenburg II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chelyabinsk II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Izhevsk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KDV(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Orenburg II(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rubin Kazan 2(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nosta(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(home) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Akron II(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Orenburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelyabinsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Orenburg II 2-1 Chelyabinsk II | Second League - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chelyabinsk II 0-1 Orenburg II | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Orenburg II 0-0 Chelyabinsk II | Second League - Group 4 |
| May 11, 2025 | Chelyabinsk II 0-2 Orenburg II | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orenburg II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk II score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orenburg II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Chelyabinsk II | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orenburg II sit 7th in Second League - Group 4 (26 points from 22 matches) and Chelyabinsk II sit 12th (17 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 26 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Orenburg II the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Chelyabinsk II.
- Where and when is Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II played?
- Orenburg II vs Chelyabinsk II is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Second League - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.