Keith vs Strathspey Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 11Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Strathspey Thistle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Strathspey Thistle?
Keith starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Strathspey Thistle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Keith win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Strathspey Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Keith 0-2 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 3-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Keith 1-4 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Strathspey Thistle 0-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Strathspey Thistle 1-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Keith 3-1 Strathspey Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Keith vs Strathspey Thistle on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Strathspey Thistle score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Strathspey Thistle | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Strathspey Thistle sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 12 | Strathspey Thistle | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 83 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Strathspey Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Strathspey Thistle.
- Where and when is Keith vs Strathspey Thistle played?
- Keith vs Strathspey Thistle is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Formartine UnitedvsLossiemouth
- Sep 19, 2026Buckie ThistlevsNairn County
- Sep 19, 2026DeveronvalevsClachnacuddin
- Sep 19, 2026Forres MechanicsvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 19, 2026RothesvsBrora Rangers
- Sep 19, 2026Wick AcademyvsFraserburgh
- Sep 19, 2026HuntlyvsInverurie Loco Works
- Sep 19, 2026InvergordonvsTurriff United