SF Grei vs Asker: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Greibanen, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Asker the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for SF Grei. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SF Grei vs Asker?
Asker is a heavy favourite: 1,784 Elo points against 1,474 — a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Grei have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Asker have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bærum(home) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KFUM II(away) | 0-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 7-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Heming(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vålerenga II(home) | 5-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 SF Grei win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Asker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Asker 3-0 SF Grei | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
SF Grei score 1.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Asker score 3.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Grei | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Asker | 3.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SF Grei sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (10 points from 16 matches) and Asker sit 1st (43 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 20 | 43 |
| 14 | SF Grei | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 56 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SF Grei vs Asker?
- The Footlab model makes Asker the favourite at 67%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for SF Grei.
- Where and when is SF Grei vs Asker played?
- SF Grei vs Asker is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Greibanen, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.