Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 54%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Lokomotiv Oslo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Union Carl Berner (1,584) and Lokomotiv Oslo (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Carl Berner have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Lokomotiv Oslo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ullern(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Asker(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grorud(home) | 1-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frigg(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SF Grei(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KFUM II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Union Carl Berner win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lokomotiv Oslo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo 0-8 Union Carl Berner | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Union Carl Berner on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Carl Berner score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Oslo score 1.7 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Carl Berner | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lokomotiv Oslo | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Carl Berner sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (21 points from 16 matches) and Lokomotiv Oslo sit 12th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Carl Berner | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo?
- The Footlab model makes Union Carl Berner the favourite at 54%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Lokomotiv Oslo.
- Where and when is Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo played?
- Union Carl Berner vs Lokomotiv Oslo is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.