KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KFUM Arena, Oslo
The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Fredrikstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate KFUM Oslo (1,923) and Fredrikstad (1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fredrikstad have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eidsvold IF(away) | 7-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Start(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KFUM Oslo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fredrikstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Fredrikstad 3-1 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| Mar 19, 2026 | KFUM Oslo 3-2 Fredrikstad | NM Cupen |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Fredrikstad 1-1 KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 1, 2025 | KFUM Oslo 2-1 Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| May 16, 2025 | Fredrikstad 1-0 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Fredrikstad 0-1 KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KFUM Oslo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fredrikstad score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFUM Oslo sit 12th in Eliteserien (19 points from 17 matches) and Fredrikstad sit 8th (23 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?
- The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Fredrikstad.
- Where and when is KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad played?
- KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KFUM Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.