Molde vs Viking: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Molde. The most likely score is 1-1. If Viking wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde vs Viking?
Viking starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (2,225 vs 2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Molde vs Viking
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Molde
4-2-3-1- 9J. Abdulai
- 10E. Breivik
- 30D. Daga
- 23S. Granaas
- 16S. Kilen
- 11C. Zady Sery
- 25M. Linnes
- 27F. Dahl
- 8M. Løvik
- 19E. Haugan
- 22A. Posiadała
Viking
4-4-2- 20P. Christiansen
- 22E. Botheim
- 10Z. Tripić
- 7K. Askildsen
- 8J. Bell
- 16H. Bjørdal
- 6G. Stensness
- 5H. Heggheim
- 28K. Haugen
- 25H. Falchener
- 1A. Østbø
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Viking have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 5-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 8-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Molde wins, 2 draws, 4 Viking wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Viking 4-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Molde 2-2 Viking | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Viking 1-0 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Molde 0-1 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Viking 1-0 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Molde 2-2 Viking | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Molde score 3.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde | 3.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Viking | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molde sit 4th in Eliteserien (37 points from 22 matches) and Viking sit 1st (53 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 37 |
A question about Molde vs Viking?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde vs Viking?
- The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Molde.
- Where and when is Molde vs Viking played?
- Molde vs Viking is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.