Tromso vs Start: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Romssa Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab AI model makes Tromso the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Start. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tromso vs Start?
Tromso starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tromso vs Start
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 5D. Edvardsson
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Start
5-3-2- 20H. Lorentzen
- 17J. Cornelius
- 23E. Segberg
- 10S. Mvoué
- 18M. Ugland
- 3A. Ujkani
- 29E. Reitan
- 6J. Norheim
- 5S. Granheim
- 12D. Dashaev
- 26M. Sjøeng
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tromso have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Start have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tromso win, 2 draws, 3 Start wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Start 1-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Tromso 1-0 Start | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Start 1-1 Tromso | NM Cupen |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Tromso 1-2 Start | Eliteserien |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Start 4-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Start 2-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Tromso score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Start score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Start | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tromso sit 3rd in Eliteserien (39 points from 22 matches) and Start sit 16th (16 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 39 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | 16 |
A question about Tromso vs Start?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tromso vs Start?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tromso the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Start.
- Where and when is Tromso vs Start played?
- Tromso vs Start is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Romssa Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.