Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nordmøre stadion, Kristiansund
The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kristiansund BK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom?
Lillestrom starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kristiansund BK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Lillestrom have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trønder-Lyn(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Start(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kristiansund BK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lillestrom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Lillestrom 1-2 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Lillestrom 2-0 Kristiansund BK | NM Cupen |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Kristiansund BK 2-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Lillestrom 2-3 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Lillestrom 1-1 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Kristiansund BK 1-3 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kristiansund BK score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kristiansund BK sit 14th in Eliteserien (15 points from 17 matches) and Lillestrom sit 5th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kristiansund BK.
- Where and when is Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom played?
- Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nordmøre stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.