Valerenga vs Rosenborg: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Intility Arena, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Valerenga the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Rosenborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valerenga vs Rosenborg?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Valerenga (1,950) and Rosenborg (1,994).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valerenga have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rosenborg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Christiania BK(away) | 7-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Brann(away) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | National Kameratene(away) | 9-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valerenga win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rosenborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rosenborg 0-2 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Rosenborg 0-1 Valerenga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Valerenga 0-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Valerenga 4-1 Rosenborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Valerenga 1-3 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Rosenborg vs Valerenga on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valerenga score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rosenborg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valerenga sit 11th in Eliteserien (21 points from 17 matches) and Rosenborg sit 7th (24 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valerenga vs Rosenborg?
- The Footlab model makes Valerenga the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Rosenborg.
- Where and when is Valerenga vs Rosenborg played?
- Valerenga vs Rosenborg is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Intility Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.