Valerenga vs Rosenborg: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 29Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Intility Arena, Oslo
The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Valerenga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rosenborg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valerenga vs Rosenborg?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Valerenga (1,947) and Rosenborg (2,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valerenga vs Rosenborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valerenga
4-4-2- 28M. Westergaard
- 90O. Saeter
- 77L. Haren
- 10C. Lange
- 11G. Zahid
- 24P. Strand
- 55S. Jarl
- 3H. Sjåtil
- 4A. Kiil Olsen
- 26D. Gjengaar
- 1O. Hedvall
Rosenborg
4-4-2- 35E. Ceïde
- 18Amin Chiakha
- 10O. Selnæs
- 17M. Bomholt
- 11N. Sahsah
- 7S. Nordli
- 19A. Pereira
- 21T. Nemčík
- 4M. Ceïde
- 22J. Svensson
- 1L. Wahlstedt
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valerenga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rosenborg have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 5-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valerenga wins, 0 draws, 3 Rosenborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rosenborg 0-2 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Rosenborg 0-1 Valerenga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Valerenga 0-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Valerenga 4-1 Rosenborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Valerenga 1-3 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Rosenborg vs Valerenga on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valerenga score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rosenborg score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerenga | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Rosenborg | 3.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valerenga sit 13th in Eliteserien (23 points from 22 matches) and Rosenborg sit 5th (34 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 34 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 45 | 23 |
A question about Valerenga vs Rosenborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valerenga vs Rosenborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Valerenga.
- Where and when is Valerenga vs Rosenborg played?
- Valerenga vs Rosenborg is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Intility Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.