Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Khan Tengri the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Aktobe Jas. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Khan Tengri (1,210) and Aktobe Jas (1,148).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khan Tengri have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Aktobe Jas have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tobol 2(away) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arys(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Khan Tengri win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aktobe Jas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Aktobe Jas 5-2 Khan Tengri | 1. Division |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Aktobe Jas 3-1 Khan Tengri | 1. Division |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Khan Tengri 2-0 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Aktobe Jas 0-2 Khan Tengri | 1. Division |
| May 31, 2024 | Khan Tengri 6-2 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Khan Tengri 1-1 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aktobe Jas vs Khan Tengri on Jul 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khan Tengri score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aktobe Jas score 1.9 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khan Tengri | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Aktobe Jas | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khan Tengri sit 10th in 1. Division (21 points from 19 matches) and Aktobe Jas sit 11th (20 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Khan Tengri | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 35 | 21 |
| 11 | Aktobe Jas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 60 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas?
- The Footlab model makes Khan Tengri the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Aktobe Jas.
- Where and when is Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas played?
- Khan Tengri vs Aktobe Jas is played on October 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.