Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon, Taraz
The Footlab model makes Taraz the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Kaspij Aktau 2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Taraz (1,319) and Kaspij Aktau 2 (1,333).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taraz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kaspij Aktau 2 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arys(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(home) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Taraz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kaspij Aktau 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2 1-0 Taraz | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Taraz on Jul 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Taraz score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kaspij Aktau 2 score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taraz | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Taraz sit 8th in 1. Division (25 points from 19 matches) and Kaspij Aktau 2 sit 9th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Taraz | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2?
- The Footlab model makes Taraz the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Kaspij Aktau 2.
- Where and when is Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2 played?
- Taraz vs Kaspij Aktau 2 is played on October 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ortalyq stadıon, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.