Khon Kaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khon Kaen Stadium, Khon Kaen
The Footlab model makes Khon Kaen United the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khon Kaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Khon Kaen United (1,507) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khon Kaen United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 2-4 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chiangmai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Port FC(away) | 0-7 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Khon Kaen United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-2 Khon Kaen United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Khon Kaen United 1-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Khon Kaen United 0-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-3 Khon Kaen United | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 6-1 Khon Kaen United | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-2 Khon Kaen United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khon Kaen United on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khon Kaen United score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khon Kaen United | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Nong Bua Pitchaya | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khon Kaen United sit 7th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 59 | 54 |
| 7 | Khon Kaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 52 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khon Kaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
- The Footlab model makes Khon Kaen United the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
- Where and when is Khon Kaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
- Khon Kaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khon Kaen Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 12, 2026SongkhlavsChanthaburi
- Dec 12, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKasetsart FC
- Dec 13, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Dec 13, 2026ChainatvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 13, 2026Esan PattayavsUttaradit
- Dec 13, 2026KanchanaburivsMuangthong United
- Dec 14, 2026Police TerovsChiangmai United