Police Tero vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Chiangmai United?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Chiangmai United (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police Tero win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Chiangmai United 4-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Police Tero 0-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Police Tero 3-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chiangmai United 2-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Police Tero | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Police Tero 1-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Police Tero on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Chiangmai United played?
- Police Tero vs Chiangmai United is played on December 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Phrae UnitedvsSatun
- Dec 12, 2026SongkhlavsChanthaburi
- Dec 12, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Dec 12, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKasetsart FC
- Dec 13, 2026ChainatvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 13, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Dec 13, 2026Esan PattayavsUttaradit
- Dec 13, 2026KanchanaburivsMuangthong United