Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Muang Loei United vs Nakhon Pathom is played on December 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 12, 2026SongkhlavsChanthaburi
- Dec 12, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Dec 12, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKasetsart FC
- Dec 13, 2026ChainatvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 13, 2026Esan PattayavsUttaradit
- Dec 13, 2026KanchanaburivsMuangthong United
- Dec 14, 2026Police TerovsChiangmai United