Match

Chainat vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatMahasarakham United

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Mahasarakham United?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).

Chainat win42 %
Draw26 %
Mahasarakham United win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Chainat win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mahasarakham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Chainat 0-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Oct 18, 2025Mahasarakham United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 22, 2025Chainat 0-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Oct 27, 2024Mahasarakham United 1-0 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Mahasarakham United on Feb 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Mahasarakham United?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mahasarakham United.
Where and when is Chainat vs Mahasarakham United played?
Chainat vs Mahasarakham United is played on December 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Mahasarakham United

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