Phrae United vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Satun?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Phrae United (1,445) and Satun (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Satun played?
- Phrae United vs Satun is played on December 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026SongkhlavsChanthaburi
- Dec 12, 2026Khon Kaen UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Dec 12, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKasetsart FC
- Dec 13, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Dec 13, 2026ChainatvsMahasarakham United
- Dec 13, 2026Esan PattayavsUttaradit
- Dec 13, 2026KanchanaburivsMuangthong United
- Dec 14, 2026Police TerovsChiangmai United