Match

St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli IIKickers Emden

The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

Kickers Emden starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,755).

St. Pauli II win29 %
Draw22 %
Kickers Emden win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kickers Emden have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Bremer SV(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Todesfelde(away)4-6Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Kickers Emden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)2-6Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Hamburger SV II(home)3-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026HSC Hannover(away)4-4Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 18, 2026SV Rodinghausen(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 St. Pauli II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kickers Emden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 1, 2025St. Pauli II 1-1 Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 2, 2025St. Pauli II 1-0 Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 30, 2024Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 29, 2023Kickers Emden 0-3 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 23, 2022St. Pauli II 2-3 Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II1.21.9110/156/15
Kickers Emden2.32.3211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Kickers Emden sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Kickers Emden411211154
14St. Pauli II41036103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden played?
St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: St. Pauli II and Kickers Emden

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