St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
Kickers Emden starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kickers Emden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 St. Pauli II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kickers Emden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 1, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 2, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kickers Emden 0-3 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 23, 2022 | St. Pauli II 2-3 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Kickers Emden sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?
- The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden played?
- St. Pauli II vs Kickers Emden is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsHannover 96 II
- Sep 26, 2026Bremer SVvsWeiche Flensburg
- Sep 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Sep 26, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Sep 26, 2026Phönix LübeckvsVfB Oldenburg
- Sep 26, 2026TodesfeldevsVfB Lübeck
- Sep 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsHSC Hannover
- Sep 26, 2026SchöningenvsSV Drochtersen/Assel