Southend vs Altrincham: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Altrincham. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southend vs Altrincham?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Altrincham have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Southend win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Altrincham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham 1-3 Southend | National League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Altrincham 1-0 Southend | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Southend 3-0 Altrincham | National League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Southend 2-1 Altrincham | National League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Altrincham 2-0 Southend | National League |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Southend 2-1 Altrincham | National League |
Last archived meeting: Altrincham vs Southend on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Altrincham score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Altrincham | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southend sit 1st in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Altrincham sit 23rd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southend vs Altrincham?
- The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Altrincham.
- Where and when is Southend vs Altrincham played?
- Southend vs Altrincham is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Roots Hall, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 29, 2027Solihull MoorsvsHarrogate Town
- Jan 30, 2027Yeovil TownvsScunthorpe
- Jan 30, 2027WealdstonevsAFC Fylde
- Jan 30, 2027Aldershot TownvsBoston United
- Jan 30, 2027GatesheadvsEastleigh
- Jan 30, 2027Sutton UtdvsWoking
- Jan 30, 2027FC Halifax TownvsForest Green
- Jan 30, 2027Kidderminster HarriersvsAFC Hornchurch