Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Southend. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kidderminster Harriers (1,967) and Southend (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kidderminster Harriers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Southend have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kidderminster Harriers win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Southend | National League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Southend 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
Last archived meeting: Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend on Dec 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kidderminster Harriers score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kidderminster Harriers sit 15th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Southend sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Kidderminster Harriers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend?
- The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Southend.
- Where and when is Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend played?
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Southend is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.