Kilmarnock vs Dundee: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dundee. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kilmarnock wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Kilmarnock (1,862) and Dundee (1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kilmarnock vs Dundee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Dundee
4-4-2- 21B. Fink
- 19J. Westley
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 28C. Jones
- 27J. Bevan
- 4R. Astley
- 5O. Bevan
- 7D. Wright
- 12I. Samuels
- 1O. Goodman
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dundee have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kilmarnock wins, 2 draws, 2 Dundee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee | Premiership |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee | Premiership |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee | FA Cup |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| May 10, 2025 | Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Dundee | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilmarnock sit 12th in Premiership (5 points from 8 matches) and Dundee sit 4th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dundee.
- Where and when is Kilmarnock vs Dundee played?
- Kilmarnock vs Dundee is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.